VJStats

Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol: prediction, stats and odds

Uruguay - Primera Division · Matchweek 9

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Referee: to be announced

Racing Club de Montevideo

#4 · 14W 11D 5L

W L W D L

19:30

Starts in 17h

CA Penarol

#1 · 19W 6D 6L

W W W W D

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol is a Primera Division match at Parque Osvaldo Roberto on Sunday, 4 October 2026, kicking off at 19:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make CA Penarol the favourite with a 46% implied chance to win, against 26% for Racing Club de Montevideo and 28% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 41% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 51%. Recent form: Racing Club de Montevideo W L W D L, CA Penarol W W W W D.

  • Racing Club de Montevideo averages 2.13 points per game at home, CA Penarol 2.14 away.
  • CA Penarol scores 2% more goals per match than Racing Club de Montevideo in these venues.
  • CA Penarol concedes 22% fewer goals per match than Racing Club de Montevideo in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 41% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 51%.
  • Expect about 10.2 corner kicks in this match.

Data from FootyStats. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
Points per game
2.13 2.14
Win %
60% 64%
Goals scored / match
1.47 1.5
Goals conceded / match
0.73 0.57
Total goals / match
2.2 2.07
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
47% 36%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
Over 0.5 goals
93% 93%
Over 1.5 goals
60% 64%
Over 2.5 goals
27% 29%
Over 3.5 goals
20% 14%
Over 4.5 goals
13% 7%
BTTS
47% 36%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
First half points per game
2 1.43
Leading at half time %
53% 29%
Drawing at half time %
40% 57%
Trailing at half time %
7% 14%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.73 0.5
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
0.73 1

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
Corners won / match
5.33 4.14
Corners conceded / match
3.13 2.5
Total corners in their matches
8.46 6.64
Over 6.5 corners
60% 50%
Over 7.5 corners
60% 28%
Over 8.5 corners
60% 14%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
Cards / match
2.4 2.43
Over 2.5 cards
87% 93%
Over 3.5 cards
80% 71%
Over 4.5 cards
80% 43%
Over 5.5 cards
40% 43%
Over 6.5 cards
33% 14%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
Shots / match
13.27 13.14
Shots on target / match
4.4 4.36
Shots off target / match
8.87 8.79
Shot conversion rate
11% 11%
Shots per goal scored
9.05 8.76
Average possession
47% 52%

Offsides and fouls

Racing Club de Montevideo CA Penarol
Offsides / match
1.27 1.46
Over 0.5 offsides
73% 69%
Over 1.5 offsides
45% 46%
Over 2.5 offsides
9% 23%
Fouls / match
13.5 10.83

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Racing Club de Montevideo

0-10'
2
3
11-20'
4
5
21-30'
5
0
31-40'
3
2
41-50'
5
3
51-60'
1
1
61-70'
4
2
71-80'
6
3
81-90'
6
5

CA Penarol

0-10'
4
3
11-20'
7
1
21-30'
6
3
31-40'
5
2
41-50'
3
6
51-60'
9
4
61-70'
3
1
71-80'
7
4
81-90'
10
2

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
Racing Club de Montevideo to win 3.50
26%
Draw 3.25
28%
CA Penarol to win 2.00
46%
Over 0.5 goals 1.11
92%
Over 1.5 goals 1.41
67%
Over 2.5 goals 2.50
41%
Over 3.5 goals 4.50
20%
Over 4.5 goals 9.00
7%
Both teams to score 2.00
51%

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

CA Penarol

Goalkeeper

Washington Omar Aguerre Lima 2340' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Lucas Agustín Ferreira Zagas 2252' 2 G 0 A
Mauricio Lemos 1246' 0 G 0 A
Maximiliano Olivera 1152' 3 G 0 A
Franco Escobar 1013' 0 G 1 A

Midfielder

Roberto Nicolás Fernández Fagúndez 2071' 3 G 1 A
Leandro Nicolás Umpiérrez Hernández 1759' 5 G 2 A
Eric Daian Remedi 1732' 1 G 3 A
Jesús Emiliano Trindade Flores 1424' 1 G 1 A

Forward

Douglas Matías Arezo Martínez 2140' 13 G 0 A
Gastón Alberto Togni 1039' 1 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Eric Daian Remedi0.62
Lucas Agustín Ferreira Zagas0.52
Maximiliano Olivera0.47
Diego Laxalt0.44
Kevin Andy Rodríguez Suárez0.39
Brian Barboza0.34

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 CA Penarol 31 19 6 6 54 26 28 63
2 Club Deportivo Maldonado 30 16 7 7 46 27 19 55
3 CA Torque 30 16 6 8 52 35 17 54
4 Racing Club de Montevideo 30 14 11 5 36 24 12 53
5 Club Nacional de Football 30 15 4 11 45 38 7 49
6 Montevideo Wanderers Futbol Club 31 13 8 10 39 41 -2 47
7 Liverpool FC Montevideo 30 12 10 8 39 28 11 46
8 Central Espanol FC 30 10 8 12 32 39 -7 38
9 CA Juventud 30 9 9 12 35 39 -4 36
10 Defensor Sporting Club 30 8 11 11 26 33 -7 35
11 Albion FC 30 9 7 14 38 40 -2 34
12 Cerro Largo Futbol Club 30 8 9 13 28 34 -6 33
13 Club Atletico Cerro 30 9 6 15 23 43 -20 33
14 CA Boston River 30 8 6 16 29 42 -13 30
15 Club Atletico Progreso 30 8 4 18 25 43 -18 28
16 Danubio Futbol Club 30 4 14 12 24 39 -15 26

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol kick off?

Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol is a Primera Division match at Parque Osvaldo Roberto on Sunday, 4 October 2026, kicking off at 19:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol?

Bookmaker odds make CA Penarol the favourite with a 46% implied chance to win, against 26% for Racing Club de Montevideo and 28% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol?

Over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.29 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Racing Club de Montevideo vs CA Penarol?

About 10.2 corner kicks are expected. About 5.6 cards are expected.

What is the recent form of Racing Club de Montevideo and CA Penarol?

Racing Club de Montevideo: W L W D L. CA Penarol: W W W W D.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.