Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club is a Primera Division match at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo on Sunday, 4 October 2026, kicking off at 10:00 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Danubio Futbol Club the favourite with a 44% implied chance to win, against 25% for Cerro Largo Futbol Club and 31% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 34% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 44%. Recent form: Danubio Futbol Club L L D D L, Cerro Largo Futbol Club D L D L L.

Danubio Futbol Club averages 1 points per game at home, Cerro Largo Futbol Club 1 away.
Danubio Futbol Club scores 39% more goals per match than Cerro Largo Futbol Club in these venues.
Danubio Futbol Club concedes 16% fewer goals per match than Cerro Largo Futbol Club in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 34% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 44%.
Expect about 8.4 corner kicks in this match.

Data from FootyStats. Updated 4 Oct 2026, 02:00

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Danubio Futbol Club

L

@ Defensor Sporting Club 1 - 0

D

Montevideo Wanderers Futbol Club 1 - 1

D

@ CA Juventud 1 - 1

L

CA Penarol 0 - 4

L

@ Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 0

Cerro Largo Futbol Club

L

Club Nacional de Football 0 - 2

L

@ Club Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 0

D

Central Espanol FC 0 - 0

L

@ CA Torque 2 - 1

D

Liverpool FC Montevideo 1 - 1

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Points per game

1 1

Win %

14% 27%

Goals scored / match

0.93 0.67

Goals conceded / match

1.07 1.27

Total goals / match

2 1.94

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

50% 27%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Over 0.5 goals

79% 93%

Over 1.5 goals

64% 53%

Over 2.5 goals

29% 33%

Over 3.5 goals

21% 13%

Over 4.5 goals

7% 0%

BTTS

50% 27%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

First half points per game

1.36 1.13

Leading at half time %

29% 27%

Drawing at half time %

50% 33%

Trailing at half time %

21% 40%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.5 0.33

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

0.43 0.33

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Corners won / match

5.79 4.07

Corners conceded / match

3.86 5.67

Total corners in their matches

9.65 9.74

Over 6.5 corners

86% 73%

Over 7.5 corners

86% 73%

Over 8.5 corners

71% 67%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Cards / match

2.43 3.27

Over 2.5 cards

93% 100%

Over 3.5 cards

79% 93%

Over 4.5 cards

64% 87%

Over 5.5 cards

28% 40%

Over 6.5 cards

14% 33%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Shots / match

11.07 9.87

Shots on target / match

4.29 3.73

Shots off target / match

6.79 6.13

Shot conversion rate

8% 7%

Shots per goal scored

11.92 14.8

Average possession

52% 49%

Offsides and fouls

Danubio Futbol Club Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Offsides / match

1.11 1.4

Over 0.5 offsides

89% 90%

Over 1.5 offsides

11% 50%

Over 2.5 offsides

11% 0%

Fouls / match

11.75 13.33

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Danubio Futbol Club

0-10'

2

1

11-20'

5

2

21-30'

3

31-40'

1

2

41-50'

3

4

51-60'

2

9

61-70'

1

3

71-80'

3

4

81-90'

4

11

Cerro Largo Futbol Club

0-10'

1

11-20'

2

5

21-30'

4

31-40'

1

2

41-50'

5

3

51-60'

2

6

61-70'

2

71-80'

1

5

81-90'

10

6

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance

Danubio Futbol Club to win 2.06

44%

Draw 3.00

31%

Cerro Largo Futbol Club to win 3.67

25%

Over 0.5 goals 1.03

88%

Over 1.5 goals 1.46

65%

Over 2.5 goals 2.25

34%

Over 3.5 goals 4.33

18%

Over 4.5 goals 8.80

3%

Both teams to score 1.95

44%

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Danubio Futbol Club

Goalkeeper

Mauro Daniel Goicoechea Furia 2700' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Emiliano Daniel Velázquez Maldonado 2227' 1 G 0 A

Tomás Bernardo Cavanagh 2027' 0 G 0 A

Camilo Mayada 1783' 0 G 0 A

Facundo Balatti 1346' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Mateo Gabriel Peralta Píriz 2361' 4 G 0 A

Sebastián Javier Rodríguez Iriarte 2039' 2 G 1 A

Iván Rossi 1892' 0 G 0 A

Juan Andrés Millán Santarcieri 515' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Enzo Cabrera Mauri 1384' 4 G 3 A

Maicol Sebastián Ferreira Soppi 1257' 4 G 4 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Mauro Alejandro Brasil Alcaire0.58

Alexander Ezequiel Velázquez Ghigliazza0.54

Luis Leandro Sosa Otermin0.39

Maicol Sebastián Ferreira Soppi0.36

Tomás Bernardo Cavanagh0.31

Nicolás Ezequiel Azambuja Vargas0.30

Cerro Largo Futbol Club

Goalkeeper

Pedro Bernardo González Ojeda 2160' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Alexander Nahuel Hernández Domínguez 2471' 1 G 0 A

Lucas Leonel Correa Sebben 2092' 1 G 0 A

Santiago Franca Ascarate 1997' 1 G 0 A

Jhonatan Alexis Piegas Núñez 1426' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Alberto Sebastián Assis Silva 2186' 0 G 2 A

Mario Valentín García Fernández 2049' 0 G 0 A

Santiago Marcel Pérez 1847' 2 G 2 A

Axel Michele Pandiani 1694' 7 G 0 A

Forward

Tiziano Correa Reyes 2198' 6 G 2 A

Diego Daguerre Irazabal 1183' 4 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Miguel Nicolás Bertochi1.08

Julián Pou Rosa1.03

Mateo Monserrat0.94

Emiliano Nicolás Jourdan Bellion0.73

Jhonatan Alexis Piegas Núñez0.57

Alexis Segovia0.51

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	CA Penarol	31	19	6	6	54	26	28	63
2	Club Deportivo Maldonado	30	16	7	7	46	27	19	55
3	CA Torque	30	16	6	8	52	35	17	54
4	Racing Club de Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	12	53
5	Club Nacional de Football	30	15	4	11	45	38	7	49
6	Montevideo Wanderers Futbol Club	31	13	8	10	39	41	-2	47
7	Liverpool FC Montevideo	30	12	10	8	39	28	11	46
8	Central Espanol FC	30	10	8	12	32	39	-7	38
9	CA Juventud	30	9	9	12	35	39	-4	36
10	Defensor Sporting Club	30	8	11	11	26	33	-7	35
11	Albion FC	30	9	7	14	38	40	-2	34
12	Cerro Largo Futbol Club	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33
13	Club Atletico Cerro	30	9	6	15	23	43	-20	33
14	CA Boston River	30	8	6	16	29	42	-13	30
15	Club Atletico Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28
16	Danubio Futbol Club	30	4	14	12	24	39	-15	26

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club kick off?

Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club is a Primera Division match at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo on Sunday, 4 October 2026, kicking off at 10:00 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club?

Bookmaker odds make Danubio Futbol Club the favourite with a 44% implied chance to win, against 25% for Cerro Largo Futbol Club and 31% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club?

Over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.09 goals.

Will both teams score in Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Danubio Futbol Club vs Cerro Largo Futbol Club?

About 8.4 corner kicks are expected. About 5.4 cards are expected.

What is the recent form of Danubio Futbol Club and Cerro Largo Futbol Club?

Danubio Futbol Club: L L D D L. Cerro Largo Futbol Club: D L D L L.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.