VJStats

AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC: prediction, stats and odds

Colombia - Categoria Primera A · Matchweek 13

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio Departamental Libertad

Referee: to be announced

AD Pasto

#11 · 12W 6D 14L

L D W W L

16:00

Starts in 13h

Fortaleza CEIF FC

#15 · 6W 13D 11L

L D D L D

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC is a Categoria Primera A match at Estadio Departamental Libertad on Sunday, 4 October 2026, kicking off at 16:00 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make AD Pasto the favourite with a 42% implied chance to win, against 30% for Fortaleza CEIF FC and 28% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 52% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 62%. Recent form: AD Pasto L D W W L, Fortaleza CEIF FC L D D L D.

  • AD Pasto averages 1.44 points per game at home, Fortaleza CEIF FC 0.57 away.
  • AD Pasto scores 6% more goals per match than Fortaleza CEIF FC in these venues.
  • AD Pasto concedes 41% fewer goals per match than Fortaleza CEIF FC in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 52% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 62%.
  • Expect about 8.3 corner kicks in this match.

Data from FootyStats. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
Points per game
1.44 0.57
Win %
44% 0%
Goals scored / match
1.06 1
Goals conceded / match
1.06 1.79
Total goals / match
2.12 2.79
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
44% 71%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
Over 0.5 goals
94% 86%
Over 1.5 goals
69% 79%
Over 2.5 goals
38% 50%
Over 3.5 goals
6% 43%
Over 4.5 goals
6% 14%
BTTS
44% 71%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
First half points per game
1.31 0.71
Leading at half time %
25% 14%
Drawing at half time %
56% 29%
Trailing at half time %
19% 57%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.56 0.36
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
0.5 0.64

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
Corners won / match
4.69 3.64
Corners conceded / match
3.75 5
Total corners in their matches
8.44 8.64
Over 6.5 corners
75% 79%
Over 7.5 corners
63% 64%
Over 8.5 corners
63% 43%

Cards

Bookings per match.

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
Cards / match
3.06 2.21
Over 2.5 cards
88% 100%
Over 3.5 cards
75% 79%
Over 4.5 cards
69% 36%
Over 5.5 cards
63% 28%
Over 6.5 cards
44% 14%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
Shots / match
12.81 9.86
Shots on target / match
3.31 2.57
Shots off target / match
9.5 7.29
Shot conversion rate
8% 10%
Shots per goal scored
12.06 9.86
Average possession
53% 49%

Offsides and fouls

AD Pasto Fortaleza CEIF FC
Offsides / match
2.6 1.71
Over 0.5 offsides
93% 71%
Over 1.5 offsides
60% 50%
Over 2.5 offsides
33% 21%
Fouls / match
10.94 11.79

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

AD Pasto

0-10'
4
3
11-20'
3
4
21-30'
6
6
31-40'
3
5
41-50'
4
4
51-60'
4
4
61-70'
1
11
71-80'
5
5
81-90'
8
4

Fortaleza CEIF FC

0-10'
4
3
11-20'
4
7
21-30'
1
6
31-40'
2
3
41-50'
2
5
51-60'
6
4
61-70'
2
1
71-80'
5
6
81-90'
9
10

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
AD Pasto to win 2.14
42%
Draw 3.12
28%
Fortaleza CEIF FC to win 2.96
30%
Over 2.5 goals 2.25
52%

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

AD Pasto

Goalkeeper

Geovanni Banguera Delgado 1423' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Edwin Alexis Velasco Uzuriaga 2620' 0 G 2 A
Nicolás Gil Uribe 2216' 0 G 2 A
Juan Mateo Garavito Peláez 2040' 1 G 0 A
Fáiner Torijano Cano 1685' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Enrique Carlos Serje Orozco 1831' 1 G 2 A
Yeiler Andrés Goez 1743' 1 G 0 A
Diego Chávez 1361' 4 G 3 A
Johan Caicedo Caicedo 1311' 1 G 1 A

Forward

Andrey Estupiñán Quiñones 2108' 17 G 4 A
Matías Pisano 1512' 0 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Santiago Jiménez Mejía0.83
Diego Chávez0.66
Wilson David Morelo López0.60
Enrique Carlos Serje Orozco0.59
Juan Mateo Garavito Peláez0.49
Matías Pisano0.48

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Club Atletico Nacional SA 35 25 2 8 70 31 39 77
2 Sociedad Anonima Deportiva America SA 32 17 7 8 48 26 22 58
3 Club Deportes Tolima SA 34 15 10 9 46 34 12 55
4 Independiente Santa Fe SA 34 13 15 6 53 36 17 54
5 CD Popular Junior FC SA 35 15 8 12 53 45 8 53
6 Asociacion Deportivo Cali 30 13 9 8 37 24 13 48
7 Millonarios FC SA 32 12 11 9 49 34 15 47
8 Once Caldas SA 32 11 13 8 47 40 7 46
9 Deportivo Independiente Medellin 30 13 7 10 45 39 6 46
10 CA Bucaramanga 29 10 13 6 43 29 14 43
11 AD Pasto 32 12 6 14 38 46 -8 42
12 CD La Equidad Seguros SA 33 9 13 11 41 52 -11 40
13 Rionegro Aguilas SA 29 9 10 10 32 40 -8 37
14 Club Llaneros SA 30 8 12 10 31 34 -3 36
15 Fortaleza CEIF FC 30 6 13 11 35 45 -10 31
16 Corporacion Nuevo Cucuta Deportivo 30 6 10 14 33 54 -21 28
17 Alianza Petrolera FC 30 6 10 14 24 48 -24 28
18 Deportivo Boyaca Chico FC SA 29 8 4 17 25 50 -25 28
19 Jaguares de Cordoba FC 29 6 7 16 31 51 -20 25
20 CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 29 2 12 15 22 45 -23 18

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC kick off?

AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC is a Categoria Primera A match at Estadio Departamental Libertad on Sunday, 4 October 2026, kicking off at 16:00 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC?

Bookmaker odds make AD Pasto the favourite with a 42% implied chance to win, against 30% for Fortaleza CEIF FC and 28% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC?

Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.65 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF FC?

About 8.3 corner kicks are expected. About 6.2 cards are expected.

What is the recent form of AD Pasto and Fortaleza CEIF FC?

AD Pasto: L D W W L. Fortaleza CEIF FC: L D D L D.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.