Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC: prediction, stats and odds

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC is a Liga MX match on Saturday, 10 October 2026, kicking off at 00:00 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Deportivo Toluca FC the favourite with a 39% implied chance to win, against 34% for Tigres UANL and 27% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 55% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 55%. Recent form: Tigres UANL D D D L W, Deportivo Toluca FC W W W L D.

Tigres UANL averages 2 points per game at home, Deportivo Toluca FC 2.2 away.
Deportivo Toluca FC scores 7% more goals per match than Tigres UANL in these venues.
Tigres UANL concedes 6% fewer goals per match than Deportivo Toluca FC in these venues.
Over 2.5 goals is expected in 55% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 55%.
Expect about 12.5 corner kicks in this match.

Data from FootyStats. Updated 2 Oct 2026, 17:37

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Tigres UANL

Puebla FC 1 - 0

@ FC Juarez 2 - 0

@ CF Monterrey 0 - 0

Club Necaxa 1 - 1

@ Club Santos Laguna 0 - 0

Deportivo Toluca FC

D

@ Cruz Azul FC 3 - 3

L

Club Santos Laguna 2 - 3

W

@ Puebla FC 0 - 1

W

CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara 5 - 2

W

FC Juarez 4 - 0

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

Points per game

2 2.2

Win %

50% 60%

Goals scored / match

1.5 1.6

Goals conceded / match

0.75 0.8

Total goals / match

2.25 2.4

Both teams scored (BTTS) %

50% 40%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

Over 0.5 goals

100% 80%

Over 1.5 goals

75% 60%

Over 2.5 goals

25% 40%

Over 3.5 goals

25% 20%

Over 4.5 goals

0% 20%

BTTS

50% 40%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

First half points per game

1 1.2

Leading at half time %

0% 20%

Drawing at half time %

100% 60%

Trailing at half time %

0% 20%

Goals scored in 1st half / match

0.5 0.2

Goals scored in 2nd half / match

1 1.4

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

Corners won / match

6.25 5

Corners conceded / match

1.75 6.8

Total corners in their matches

8 11.8

Over 6.5 corners

50% 100%

Over 7.5 corners

50% 100%

Over 8.5 corners

50% 100%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

Cards / match

1.25 1.8

Over 2.5 cards

50% 60%

Over 3.5 cards

25% 60%

Over 4.5 cards

25% 60%

Over 5.5 cards

0% 40%

Over 6.5 cards

0% 20%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

Shots / match

17.25 14.4

Shots on target / match

4 4.8

Shots off target / match

13.25 9.6

Shot conversion rate

9% 11%

Shots per goal scored

11.5 9

Average possession

56% 55%

Offsides and fouls

Tigres UANL Deportivo Toluca FC

Offsides / match

1.5 2

Over 0.5 offsides

50% 80%

Over 1.5 offsides

25% 80%

Over 2.5 offsides

25% 40%

Fouls / match

9.5 11.6

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Tigres UANL

0-10'

0

1

11-20'

1

3

21-30'

1

0

31-40'

1

2

41-50'

1

0

51-60'

3

0

61-70'

1

71-80'

1

81-90'

1

5

Deportivo Toluca FC

0-10'

1

11-20'

2

0

21-30'

4

0

31-40'

1

41-50'

3

2

51-60'

5

2

61-70'

2

1

71-80'

4

2

81-90'

1

3

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance

Tigres UANL to win 2.71

34%

Draw 3.42

27%

Deportivo Toluca FC to win 2.35

39%

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Tigres UANL

Goalkeeper

Nahuel Ignacio Guzmán 900' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Joaquim Henrique Pereira 814' 0 G 2 A

Alan Javier Franco 627' 0 G 0 A

Vladimir Eduardo Loroña Aguilar 341' 0 G 0 A

Juan José Purata 340' 0 G 0 A

Midfielder

Juan Francisco Brunetta 895' 4 G 4 A

Jesús Ángel Garza García 810' 0 G 0 A

Fernando Gorriarán Fontes 805' 1 G 0 A

Rômulo 700' 0 G 0 A

Forward

Diego Lainez 684' 0 G 0 A

Rodrigo Sebastián Aguirre Soto 675' 3 G 1 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Juan José Purata0.79

Vladimir Eduardo Loroña Aguilar0.53

Fernando Gorriarán Fontes0.45

Rodrigo Sebastián Aguirre Soto0.27

Mauro Alberto Laínez Leyva0.26

César Araújo0.21

Deportivo Toluca FC

Goalkeeper

Luis Manuel García Palomera 525' 0 G 0 A

Defender

Federico Pereira 766' 0 G 0 A

Bruno Méndez Cittadini 628' 0 G 1 A

Everardo López 586' 1 G 1 A

Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos 518' 1 G 1 A

Midfielder

Franco Agustín Romero 590' 0 G 0 A

Nicolás Castro 541' 0 G 2 A

Jesús Ricardo Angulo Uriarte 524' 1 G 1 A

Jorge Roberto Díaz Price 490' 1 G 0 A

Forward

Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas 549' 4 G 2 A

Helio Junio Nunes de Castro 499' 3 G 3 A

Cards per 90 minutes

Diego Armando Barbosa Zaragoza0.55

Helio Junio Nunes de Castro0.54

Nicolás Castro0.33

Franco Agustín Romero0.31

Everardo López0.31

Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos0.17

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Club America	9	6	2	1	21	10	11	20
2	Deportivo Toluca FC	10	6	2	2	23	12	11	20
3	CD Guadalajara	10	5	3	2	17	10	7	18
4	Queretaro FC	9	5	2	2	13	8	5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	14	11	3	17
6	CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara	10	5	2	3	16	17	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul FC	10	5	1	4	19	18	1	16
8	Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente	9	4	2	3	14	13	1	14
9	Puebla FC	10	4	2	4	11	12	-1	14
10	CF Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16	14	2	13
11	CF Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15	11	4	12
12	Club Universidad Nacional	10	3	3	4	14	16	-2	12
13	Atletico San Luis	10	3	3	4	14	18	-4	12
14	Club Atlante	10	2	5	3	12	15	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	10	13	-3	10
16	Club Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10	15	-5	10
17	Club Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12	20	-8	8
18	FC Juarez	10	1	0	9	7	25	-18	3

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC kick off?

Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC is a Liga MX match on Saturday, 10 October 2026, kicking off at 00:00 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC?

Bookmaker odds make Deportivo Toluca FC the favourite with a 39% implied chance to win, against 34% for Tigres UANL and 27% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC?

Over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.9 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC?

About 12.5 corner kicks are expected. About 3.6 cards are expected.

What is the recent form of Tigres UANL and Deportivo Toluca FC?

Tigres UANL: D D D L W. Deportivo Toluca FC: W W W L D.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS: Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet: A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score: A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG: Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA: Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game: Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away: The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals: Three or more goals in the match.