Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama: prediction, stats and odds

Brazil - Serie A · Matchweek 29

Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Referee: to be announced

Botafogo FR

#12 · 9W 8D 11L

L D D W L

20:30

Starts in 2d

CR Vasco da Gama

#16 · 8W 7D 12L

L D W W W

Overview

What the numbers say about this match.

Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama is a Serie A match on Wednesday, 7 October 2026, kicking off at 20:30 (America/Sao_Paulo). Bookmaker odds make Botafogo FR the favourite with a 42% implied chance to win, against 30% for CR Vasco da Gama and 28% for a draw. Over 2.5 goals is expected in 63% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 70%. Recent form: Botafogo FR L D D W L, CR Vasco da Gama L D W W W.

  • Botafogo FR averages 1.5 points per game at home, CR Vasco da Gama 0.62 away.
  • Botafogo FR scores 71% more goals per match than CR Vasco da Gama in these venues.
  • Botafogo FR concedes 19% fewer goals per match than CR Vasco da Gama in these venues.
  • Over 2.5 goals is expected in 63% of similar matches and both teams scoring in 70%.
  • Expect about 10 corner kicks in this match.

Data from FootyStats. Updated

Recent form

Last five completed matches before this one.

Team comparison

How both teams have performed this season.

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
Points per game
1.5 0.62
Win %
36% 8%
Goals scored / match
1.71 1
Goals conceded / match
1.43 1.77
Total goals / match
3.14 2.77
Both teams scored (BTTS) %
71% 69%

Goals and BTTS

How often matches of each team finish above a number of goals.

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
Over 0.5 goals
86% 92%
Over 1.5 goals
86% 69%
Over 2.5 goals
71% 54%
Over 3.5 goals
50% 31%
Over 4.5 goals
21% 23%
BTTS
71% 69%

First and second half

Who starts and who finishes stronger.

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
First half points per game
1.43 0.77
Leading at half time %
36% 8%
Drawing at half time %
36% 54%
Trailing at half time %
29% 38%
Goals scored in 1st half / match
0.57 0.23
Goals scored in 2nd half / match
1.14 0.77

Corners

Corner kicks per match.

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
Corners won / match
5.43 4.62
Corners conceded / match
5 4.23
Total corners in their matches
10.43 8.85
Over 6.5 corners
79% 92%
Over 7.5 corners
79% 69%
Over 8.5 corners
71% 54%

Cards

Bookings per match.

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
Cards / match
2.71 2.54
Over 2.5 cards
86% 85%
Over 3.5 cards
71% 54%
Over 4.5 cards
64% 46%
Over 5.5 cards
56% 46%
Over 6.5 cards
21% 23%

Shots and possession

How teams create chances.

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
Shots / match
16.5 15.38
Shots on target / match
5.71 4.15
Shots off target / match
10.79 11.23
Shot conversion rate
10% 7%
Shots per goal scored
9.63 15.38
Average possession
47% 51%

Offsides and fouls

Botafogo FR CR Vasco da Gama
Offsides / match
0.85 2.08
Over 0.5 offsides
38% 92%
Over 1.5 offsides
31% 57%
Over 2.5 offsides
8% 33%
Fouls / match
14 13.69

Goals by minute

When each team scores and concedes this season.

Scored Conceded

Botafogo FR

0-10'
4
3
11-20'
5
7
21-30'
1
5
31-40'
2
2
41-50'
6
7
51-60'
5
8
61-70'
4
2
71-80'
6
4
81-90'
8
7

CR Vasco da Gama

0-10'
1
4
11-20'
0
0
21-30'
3
5
31-40'
3
6
41-50'
2
2
51-60'
7
6
61-70'
3
7
71-80'
6
4
81-90'
9
7

Odds

Bookmaker prices next to the chance the statistics give.

MarketOddsChance
Botafogo FR to win 2.31
42%
Draw 3.40
28%
CR Vasco da Gama to win 3.18
30%
Over 2.5 goals 1.90
63%

Players

Players with the most minutes this season, by position.

Botafogo FR

Norberto Neto 855' 0 G 0 A
Alex Telles 1947' 3 G 5 A
Alexander Barboza 1506' 1 G 2 A
Edson Gabriel Justino 900' 1 G 0 A
Arthur Cabral 1856' 7 G 1 A
Álvaro Montoro 1690' 1 G 5 A

CR Vasco da Gama

Léo Jardim 2430' 0 G 0 A
Thiago Mendes 2008' 4 G 1 A
Andres Gomez 1943' 5 G 3 A

League table

Both teams are highlighted.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 18 6 4 55 23 32 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47 21 26 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 14 7 7 43 32 11 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 13 9 6 44 36 8 48
5 EC Bahia 28 12 10 6 43 35 8 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 13 6 9 42 40 2 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 11 7 9 36 32 4 40
8 Santos FC Sao Paulo 27 10 8 9 41 40 1 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 10 8 10 37 43 -6 38
10 Sao Paulo FC 27 10 6 11 32 30 2 36
11 Clube Atletico Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33 31 2 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 9 8 11 41 45 -4 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28 42 -14 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 8 8 12 29 32 -3 32
15 Mirassol Futebol Clube 28 8 8 12 33 42 -9 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 8 7 12 34 41 -7 31
17 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense 28 7 8 13 30 38 -8 29
18 SC Internacional 28 6 10 12 30 36 -6 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 5 8 15 32 47 -15 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 3 9 15 29 53 -24 18

Frequently asked questions

Quick answers about this match.

When does Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama kick off?

Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama is a Serie A match on Wednesday, 7 October 2026, kicking off at 20:30 (America/Sao_Paulo).

Who is favoured to win Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Bookmaker odds make Botafogo FR the favourite with a 42% implied chance to win, against 30% for CR Vasco da Gama and 28% for a draw.

How many goals are expected in Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance. Matches of these teams average 2.96 goals.

Will both teams score in Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance.

How many corners and cards are expected in Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama?

About 10 corner kicks are expected. About 5.2 cards are expected.

What is the recent form of Botafogo FR and CR Vasco da Gama?

Botafogo FR: L D D W L. CR Vasco da Gama: L D W W W.

Glossary

What these terms mean.

BTTS
Both teams to score: each team scores at least one goal.
Clean sheet
A match where the team does not concede a goal.
Failed to score
A match where the team does not score a goal.
xG
Expected goals: the quality of the chances a team creates.
xGA
Expected goals against: the quality of the chances a team allows.
Points per game
Average points per match: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw.
Home / Away
The home team's results at home against the visitor's results away. "Overall" uses all matches.
Over 2.5 goals
Three or more goals in the match.